===
Kevvie’s carbon tax con
Piers Akerman – Wednesday, July 17, 2013 (12:19am)
LET’S be perfectly clear – Kevvie from Brizzie has not ended the carbon dioxide tax.
The closest he has come with his tinkering is to give a slew of unelected European bureaucrats control over the amount of tax Australians will pay in the future.
That’s right, the price we will pay for carbon credits – which went to $24-a-tonne under the Gillard Labor-Green-Independent minority government on July 1 – will now be set in Brussels.
The tax will still apply.
Kevvie’s coup was not even new.
His assassinated predecessor was going to introduce the same tax change in 12 months.
All Kevvie has done is try and save some votes for Labor by bringing forward the change and claiming that he has abolished the tax.
Hogwash. Power bills will still be astronomical.
Perhaps some Labor voters might believe it but thinking Australians should see right through the scam.
At his press conference with the training-wheel Treasurer Chris Bowen, RuddKevvie repeatedly said families would save $380 “per year”.
Bowen had to remind him it was just a saving of $380 in the 2014-15 financial year, but, naturally, Kevvie preferred his falsehood and continued to repeat his $380 “per year” claim.
As usual, there are flow-on repercussions that Kevvie has not taken into account or explained. Changes to the FBT treatment of cars will hit that embattled industry harder as it struggles, Toyota has warned that it could be the death knell of the auto industry and the floating price will add immeasurably to business uncertainty.
Perhaps another tear-streaked apology speech will be delivered in the months before the election.
As Opposition leader Tony Abbott told a media conference in Tasmania: “He is not the terminator, he is the exaggerator.
“He is not the terminator, he is the fabricator.
“He has changed its name but he hasn’t abolished the tax. All he has done is given Australians one year only of very modest relief.
“He has turned a $64 billion tax into a $58 billion tax. What he has done though is that he has essentially conceded the Coalition’s criticism of the carbon tax.”
“He is not the terminator, he is the fabricator.
“He has changed its name but he hasn’t abolished the tax. All he has done is given Australians one year only of very modest relief.
“He has turned a $64 billion tax into a $58 billion tax. What he has done though is that he has essentially conceded the Coalition’s criticism of the carbon tax.”
This latest Labor policy backdown is an admission that the carbon dioxide tax was hurting Australian families and Australian businesses – something Labor denied or lied about for the past three years.
Kevvie got a big run on the ABC and Fairfax with his challenge to Abbott to debate the carbon tax – as he would.
But as Kevvie proposed a CPRS, which he delayed, then dumped, then supported a carbon tax, and now supports a floating carbon tax, it’s difficult to keep track on his position because he lacks conviction and principle.
Australians don’t want a debate, they want an election.
Question is: Why is Kevvie so afraid of asking the people what they want?
===
Why virtual parenting raises virtual children
Miranda Devine – Tuesday, July 16, 2013 (6:56pm)
IT’S something we all know. Busy lives and technology are intruding on crucial family time.
We see the consequences around us in the rise of the unruly brat and a new lost generation of depression-prone adolescents. After all, if your parents don’t care enough to spend time with you, it’s hard to feel worthwhile.
The latest survey to sound the warning is from Virgin Holidays, which showed parents are spending less than eight hours a week of quality time with their children, on average; that breaks down to only 39 minutes per weekday, rising to just over an hour on Saturdays and Sundays.
Reasons parents gave for neglecting family time included that “the children are watching TV” or “the children are playing computer games”.
Who is the parent here? It is a woeful tale with worrying implications for the future.
A generation of children who are virtually bringing up themselves, with the help of whatever is beaming at them through their screens.
The latest survey comes off the back of another poll last year from the British Family and Parenting Institute, showing the number one thing children want is more time with their parents.
Six out of 10 kids complained their parents didn’t spend enough time with the family. Why aren’t we listening?
The one thing children need more than anything else is parental attention. It can be hard for busy parents, especially with taciturn teenagers whose idea of conversation is a sarcastic grunt.
But psychologists are warning we’re raising a generation of “Tamagotchi Kids” - children brought up by computers and TVs and smart phones.
With parents on their laptops while watching TV in one room and the children engrossed in their own digital entertainments in another, it can be easy to spend an entire evening communing less with your offspring than you did with the guy you bought your coffee from on the way to work.
It is really a facsimile of family life when everyone is isolated contentedly in their own activity.
You might be in the same house with your children but you are not doing your job as a parent. You’re not imprinting your values, imparting their worth, setting boundaries and teaching them how to be a good person.
Adolescent psychiatrist Dr Michael Carr-Gregg coined the term “Tamagotchi Parenting” after the electronic game that became a craze in Japan, in which you pressed buttons to feed and water a virtual pet.
He has been concerned about the rise of remote control parenting because it denies children the boundaries they crave. They become isolated from their parents by an “emotional firewall”, reserving their emotional relationships for friends, with whom they are permanently connected, electronically.
A Year 7 teacher once told me she saw a difference between the Generation Y she had been teaching and the new digital natives, the 12- and 13-year-olds of Generation Z coming through.
Born roughly since the mid-1990s, Gen Z is born virtually with a smart phone in their hands. They are the first post-technological revolution generation and their default reality is radically different from anything before.
But this teacher sees the dark side of her charges’ facility with digital technology. So immersed are they in their screens that she fears they are losing the ability to read facial expressions, a prerequisite for empathy.
Carr-Gregg predicts a “decline in civic connectedness and ... social capital” as a consequence.
Parenting is not like a My Three Sons episode where Big Daddy draws the children around for the latest sermon from the mount.
All the little incidental interactions when you are spending time with children add up to a coherent moral fabric with which they can fashion their character.
Mothers I know often say the best time to connect with their sons is in the car while ferrying them to sport, when they open up about their lives, comfortable with the parallel nature of the interaction, and mum too busy looking at the road to turn her laser eyes to his soul.
A full-time mother of nine children I know always makes a point of having a cup of tea alone after her husband has gone to bed so that any child who wants a private chat knows where to find her.
These surveys are a wake-up call to all of us to make spending extra time with our children the priority.
Turn off the screens, play a game, make a meal together, go for a walk, read a book aloud. Try to get that eight hours a week up to 15.
Yes, we’re all busy but most parents should be able to claw time back from less pressing activities.
Nothing is more important than bringing up the next generation.
===
TO BE NAMED, NAMES ARE NEEDED
Tim Blair – Wednesday, July 17, 2013 (7:44pm)
Fairfax’s Stephanie Peatling believes unidentified asylum seekers are dehumanised:
On Wednesday, Home Affairs Minister Jason Clare concluded a press conference about the circumstances surrounding the latest boat tragedy.He barely mentioned the people on board except as a body count …Their emotional wellbeing is barely considered.Instead, they will become the latest people to be talked about by politicians, journalists and commentators as “asylum seekers” or “illegal boat arrivals” or another anonymous group reference.
I agree with Stephanie. All asylum seekers should be named. This process can begin as soon as they present theirpassports.
===
KEVNI KNEW NOTHING
Tim Blair – Wednesday, July 17, 2013 (11:28am)
An advertising agency is booted after offering interviews with Kevin Rudd in exchange for free pro-Labor pieces on youth websites:
A spokesperson for Rudd told Mumbrella: “The actions of Naked Communications were conducted without the authority or knowledge of the Prime Minister, or his office.”Labor national secretary George Wright, who will lead the party’s election campaign, told Mumbrella: “Naked Communications are no longer working on the ALP online campaign for the election. As I said yesterday the behaviour was not acceptable, and the document was not sighted by or authorised by the ALP, and certainly not by the PM’s office. No further comment will be made.”
A rouge employee is blamed for the mishap.
===
THERE IS ONLY ONE QUESTION
Tim Blair – Wednesday, July 17, 2013 (10:16am)
Who is better at throwing the ceremonial first pitch at a baseball game - a South Korean actress or a South Korean gymnast?
===
THE KINGSTON DECISION
Tim Blair – Wednesday, July 17, 2013 (9:19am)
Attention, world: Margo Kingston has declared her vote. No response yet from the major parties.
UPDATE. Margo’s previous decision is now void:
“I voted Green for first time in 2001, due to Tampa … Now, had enough,” Margo wrote. She rejects Greens asylum seeker policies “due to refusal to acknowledge obvious consequences” including “deaths at sea + overwhelming numbers.”
===
“FAIR WORK COMMISSION” ALSO SOUNDS RACIST
Tim Blair – Wednesday, July 17, 2013 (3:39am)
South African Mickey Arthur seeks $4 million in compensation after being sacked as Australian cricket coach:
Arthur’s lawyers confirmed last night that he had “filed proceedings on a number of grounds in the Fair Work Commission (in) Sydney for being sacked and scapegoated. The grounds include racial discrimination.”
Everything is racist in Australia. Arthur can’t possibly lose, which will be a change from his coaching career.
UPDATE. Australian captain Michael Clarke and his team seem to be coping.
===
Justice trashed. Obama Adminstration goes after the “whiite” guy
Andrew Bolt July 17 2013 (8:05pm)
What a grotesque use of state power:
On Tuesday evening, Robert Zimmerman, brother of George Zimmerman, responded to reports that Eric Holder’s Department of Justice had solicited the public for information about George that could help a federal civil rights prosecution. The DOJ has even set up an email address for tips on Zimmerman.It is sinister that the Obama Administration is stirring up racial tension for political gain, and using state power to undermine the rule of law in favor of the lynch mob:
In an exclusive interview with Breitbart News, Robert labeled the effort a “witch hunt,” asking, “How many other individuals has the DOJ witch-hunted in this way?”
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton spoke about the “heartache” of the Trayvon Martin case in D.C. Tuesday evening while speaking to an African-American sorority group.
“My prayers are with the Martin family and with every family who loves someone who is lost to violence,” she said in an almost 30-minute speech. “No mother, no father, should ever have to fear for their child walking down a street in the United States of America.”
Clinton also referenced U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder’s announcement Monday that the Justice Department will review the case.
“Yesterday I know you heard from the Attorney General about the next steps from the Justice Department and the need for a national dialogue,” she said. “As we move forward as we must I hope this sisterhood will continue to be a force for justice and understanding.”
===
Rudd talks, people drown. UPDATE: Third boat sinks in a week
Andrew Bolt July 17 2013 (4:13pm)
Kevin Rudd in 2008
scrapped the tough border laws which had cut boat arrivals to an average
of just three a year. Since then more than 45,000 boat people have come
to Australia, and more than 1000 have been lured to their deaths.
Last week another nine boat people drowned, and Rudd promised yet more talk:
And note: if these people drowned under Tony Abbott, especially after a boat turnaround, imagine the media uproar. Yet Rudd’s policy has contributed to the deaths of more than 1000 people and a complicit media lays no blame at all.
UPDATE
Rudd is now trying to fix what he broke, but so much damage has already been done:
Rudd is brilliant at seeming something different to what he is and does. The Sydney Morning Herald’s web page shows how easily he fools a willing press:
If boat people drowned under Tony Abbott’s policies, would the Sydney Morning Herald care as little as it does about those who drown under Kevin Rudd’s?:
A third boat now sinking in just one week:
Last week another nine boat people drowned, and Rudd promised yet more talk:
This tragedy underlines the absolute importance for Australia to continue to adjust its policies to meet changing circumstances in the region and in the world when it comes to border security.Yesterday, more deaths:
That is why our response in terms of elevating the work we do cooperatively with the Indonesians and others is now urgent.
FOUR asylum-seekers are dead after an asylum boat carrying about 150 people sank north of Christmas Island as Customs and Border Protection crews were trying to assist it.Apart from just talking about fixing the lethal disaster he caused, what is Rudd actually doing?
And note: if these people drowned under Tony Abbott, especially after a boat turnaround, imagine the media uproar. Yet Rudd’s policy has contributed to the deaths of more than 1000 people and a complicit media lays no blame at all.
UPDATE
Rudd is now trying to fix what he broke, but so much damage has already been done:
Since Prime Minister Kevin Rudd returned as Prime Minister 2376 people have a arrived on boats, including 2138 already this month. This does not include survivors from the capsize or the group rescued earlier by HMAS Bathurst.UPDATE
In addition to the baby boy from Sri Lanka who drowned this month and the eight missing, 220 asylum seekers have either drowned or vanished this year and more than 15,600 have arrived safely.
The surge has come amid warnings from Foreign Minister Bob Carr that arrivals, on track to be around 40,000 this year, could double to 80,000 a year.
Rudd is brilliant at seeming something different to what he is and does. The Sydney Morning Herald’s web page shows how easily he fools a willing press:
UPDATE
If boat people drowned under Tony Abbott’s policies, would the Sydney Morning Herald care as little as it does about those who drown under Kevin Rudd’s?:
UPDATE
A third boat now sinking in just one week:
An Australian PC Orion aircraft is making a mercy dash to drop liferafts to about 80 people on board an asylum seeker boat that is sinking north-east of Christmas Island.(Thanks to readers Alan RM Jones, Dave and Mark 2.)
===
Who really dreamed up this $6 carbon price? As Ellis says, it will go up
Andrew Bolt July 17 2013 (3:16pm)
I wonder whether
Climate Change Minister Mark Butler told the truth about who came up
with the $6 figure of a likely carbon price next year:
I may be wrong, but I’d like to see the Treasury documents that back up what Butler says.
UPDATE
Childcare Minister Kate Ellis has one of those awful moments on ABC radio when she realises she told the truth about Rudd’s carbon tax.
Let’s drop in on her chat with 891 ABC’s Matthew Abraham and David Bevan, with a contribution from the Liberals’ Christopher Pyne:
CHRIS UHLMANN: Is it treasury figure or is it your figure? That price of six dollars is the price at the moment, that doesn’t mean that’s what it’s going to be in 2014/15. And you will be aware of course that the Europeans are trying to force that price up at the moment so where do you get six dollars from?I seriously doubt anyone in Treasury really thinks Europe’s carbon price 11 months from now will still be $6 in Australian money.
MARK BUTLER: Well your viewers will be comforted by the fact that I don’t make these figures, we ask Treasury for proper advice and proper forecasts about what they think the European price will be in 2014/15, and advice about whether our price, Australia’s price is likely to converge with that. That was the advice of Treasury and it is appropriate that once we get that advice that is the basis for our costings and our - ultimately our savings process.
I may be wrong, but I’d like to see the Treasury documents that back up what Butler says.
UPDATE
Childcare Minister Kate Ellis has one of those awful moments on ABC radio when she realises she told the truth about Rudd’s carbon tax.
Let’s drop in on her chat with 891 ABC’s Matthew Abraham and David Bevan, with a contribution from the Liberals’ Christopher Pyne:
ELLIS: This is a complicated policy. Many people wouldn’t know what the difference between a carbon price and an Emissions Trading Scheme is to begin with, but what we’ve said is that we believe that we’d have a fixed price so you can get some certainty in the system, you can settle in, and then we were always going to a floating price in an Emissions Treading Scheme. Business has said that they’re ready to go, they’ve lobbied for this to be bought forward, we’re also hearing from the community that they have cost of living pressures and there are lot of claims, ….we heard about prices going up, prices going down. One thing that we have seen the whole time throughout this debate is a lot of different claims and counter claims about prices. And the one thing that’s been consistent is the accuracy of Treasury modelling. Now, Treasury is telling us that this will reduce both electricity and gas price prices and I think that’s good news for our community.Later:
BEVAN: Well the same Treasury is also predicting that the price will go back upon to $25 a tonne by 2017/18, so in four year’s time, will we be paying a lot more for carbon?
ELLIS: And we will be paying what’s in line with the international trading scheme, we will be competing on a level playing field with other countries and other sectors and we think that’s a very good thing.
BEVAN: But you will be putting back up the cost of household power bills.
ELLIS: Absolutely, this will be a floating price and it will move up and down –
BEVAN: It’s only going to go up according to the Treasury officials that you say are on the ball.
ELLIS: Absolutely, and it will move in line with international markets so that we know that Australian consumers and Australian business is not disadvantaged.
ABRAHAM: When it moves back up, won’t all those electricity savings be wiped out?
ELLIS: One of things that – of course those savings will move which is one of the reasons why –
ABRAHAM: Oh no they won’t move, they won’t get better will they?
ELLIS: -which is one of the reasons why we are keeping in place all of our assistance packages…..
PYNE: ….the Labor Party’s deal is an absolute dud. I mean Kate Ellis just admitted on your program and you put it to her that prices will go up again. She said – absolutely. When you said to her – will the carbon tax price go up again? She said absolutely, so she’s twice on your show this morning …..Later again:
PYNE: …He (Rudd) supported the carbon tax, he supported increasing the carbon tax on July the 1st, he voted for it. Now he says he’s terminating the carbon tax when he’s not actually abolishing the carbon tax and Kate Ellis has admitted that this morning on your program –
ELLIS: I’ve done absolutely no such thing Christopher.
PYNE: Well you did. You said absolutely electricity prices would go up again, your word. You said absolutely the carbon price would go up again, your word – and I’m sure that will come back to bite you for the rest of the day.
===
Albanese admits Rudd’s $6 carbon price could actually rise
Andrew Bolt July 17 2013 (9:14am)
Last night Deputy Prime
Minister Anthony Albanese conceded the carbon price could actually be
higher than the $6 Kevin Rudd claimed it would fall to.
Albanese also could not deny that the Government’s own Budget, passed just two months ago, projected the European price would actually soar to $38 by 2019.
But he would not say whether he stood by that figure, which the Government relied upon in claiming it would raise enough money to pay for its disability and education schemes.
Listen to our discussion here.
And here is the Budget projection that Albanese suggested he was too unfamiliar with to discuss:
Albanese also could not deny that the Government’s own Budget, passed just two months ago, projected the European price would actually soar to $38 by 2019.
But he would not say whether he stood by that figure, which the Government relied upon in claiming it would raise enough money to pay for its disability and education schemes.
Listen to our discussion here.
And here is the Budget projection that Albanese suggested he was too unfamiliar with to discuss:
===
Still no athlete charged. Which Minister will be sacked?
Andrew Bolt July 17 2013 (9:06am)
I have been astonished that so many leading sports writers couldn’t see
through the stunt, and couldn’t distinguish between allegation and
proof. As I wrote in February:
Zero.
And now this, about the club under most scrutiny:
UPDATE
Reader Worker answers my question:
IT IS mad, how recklessly some politicians last week trashed the reputation of Australian sport.So five months after that press conference, how many athletes have been charged over drug use, matchfixing or organised crime?
Don’t blame athletes or officials for making sports codes seem riddled with “endemic corruption” - from rampant drug use to match-fixing and gangsters.
Blame instead the Gillard Government and commentators who on Thursday ballyhooed a desperately thin Australian Crime Commission report.
Zero.
And now this, about the club under most scrutiny:
ESSENDON’S players will not face ASADA sanction from its use of AOD-9604, it was claimed last night.So which Minister will be sacked for causing such terrible and needless damage to the reputation of Australian sport and to the good name of some of Australia’s most famous clubs?
The club’s confidence the players will escape penalty stem from their knowledge that the anti-obesity drug was not banned in 2012.
It was claimed last night, and later confirmed by Essendon sources, the club inquired to anti-doping body ASADA about its players taking the drug in early 2012 and was told it was not a prohibited substance…
Essendon has previously refused to comment on reports that a leading ASADA investigator told them on May 6 this year: ‘’I don’t believe it (AOD-9604) should ever have been on the prohibited list.’’
The Dons were allegedly told by ASADA the prospects of a prosecution for the use of AOD-9604 was ‘’very, very, very low’’.
UPDATE
Reader Worker answers my question:
The one that did not support RuddReader Spinks:
In likely order they will try to pass off blame onto:Reader Viperous:
1. Tony Abbott. 2. Tony Abbott.
3. Tony Abbott.
4. Workchoices.
5. Brian Dixon, State Liberal Sports Minister in the 1970s.
6. Global Warming.
7. The GFC.
8. Look, this is a complex problem.
9. A good government losing its way again, unfortumately, sorry about that.
10. Not them.
From Foxnews:
ASADA’s statement to Fox Footy stated: ‘’ASADA has not advised any party that AOD-9604 is permitted in sport. ASADA correctly advised ACC that AOD-9604 was not prohibited under S.2 of the WADA prohibited list, however made no reference to its status under S.0. There is no difference between the substances WADA and ASADA consider prohibited.
It’s like The Pink Panther:
‘Does your dog bite?
Non Monsieur. My dog does not bite.
Ouch. I thought you said that your dog does not bite!
That is not my dog.
===
How to grill an alarmist politician
Andrew Bolt July 17 2013 (9:05am)
Reader Evan is right. This is how to interview a warming alarmist:
Source: BBC2: The Sunday Politics
Date: 14/07/2013
Andrew Neil: Now, are you ready for a puzzle? Well, here’s one. Can global warming be happening as expected, when the world has stopped getting hotter? That’s the brain-teaser that’s troubling scientists and which threatens to shatter the consensus over global warming.
Global temperatures have increased by 0.8 degrees Celsius since the industrial revolution. But since the late 1990s, they’ve stalled, despite the fact that emissions of greenhouse gases have continued apace. The amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere reached 400 parts per million for the first time earlier this year. The pause has led some climate scientists to question whether there could be something wrong with their models. One eminent German professor [Hans von Storch, University of Hamburg] has said: “So far, no one has been able to provide a compelling answer to why climate change seems to be taking a break. We’re facing a puzzle...”
The Climate Change Secretary, Ed Davey, has said that this normal expression of scientific uncertainty is no reason to reconsider energy and climate change policies, even though his department says they’re already adding £112 to annual household bills, a number which is set to rise. Speaking last month, he described people who cast doubt on the scientific consensus as “crackpots and conspiracy theorists”, and he warned the press not to give an “uncritical campaigning platform” to people who deny that climate change is man-made.
Ed Davey, Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, joins me now for the Sunday interview.
Andrew Neil: Ed Davey, welcome. In a speech on June 2nd you said that healthy scepticism is part of the scientific process. Then, a couple of weeks later, you described anybody who challenged the climate change consensus as - quote - “crackpots and conspiracy theorists”. So, what is it?
Ed Davey: Well, I do think we should always challenge the science - of course, we should - and there’s a healthy debate amongst climate change scientists. But the vast majority of climate change scientists believe that climate change is happening and that man-made activity is causing it. So it’s a tiny number of people who believe that it’s not happening and that man isn’t responsible for it. And I have to say that I agree with President Obama in his recent speech, when he said we don’t need another meeting of the Flat Earth Society. We need to get on and tackle climate change, and I agree with him.
Andrew Neil: So the scientists who challenge the consensus are “crackpots”.
Ed Davey: No, what I was saying - I was referring to a particular issue there. I do think there’s a - of course, we should have a debate, I’m not against debate. What we’ve seen in the press -
Andrew Neil: You said that newspapers shouldn’t publish their views.
Ed Davey: No, no, I didn’t say that. What I’ve actually said, and I completely stand by that, is that we’ve seen a completely unchallenged view of the climate change deniers. I think we need rather more balance in the debate, particularly when we saw recent analysis on 12,000 scientific papers, and of the scientists who expressed a view - on climate change papers - of the scientists who expressed a view, 97% said that climate change was happening and that it was human-made activities - human activity that caused it.
Andrew Neil: That survey, of course, has been substantially discredited.
Ed Davey: Well, I don’t believe it has -
Andrew Neil: Oh no, it has. Let me tell you - 35% of the abstracts were misclassified, and they were classified to the pro-global warming side. Professor Richard Tol, the expert most quoted approvingly in this report, has disassociated himself from this survey - he said it’s not reliable.
Ed Davey: If you look at -
Andrew Neil: That’s your survey.
Ed Davey: If you look at what the scientists are saying - take the Chief Scientist to the government who’s just stepped down, Sir John Beddington. You and I, through our taxes, pay for these scientists. He said, in his speech as he left, that the evidence was unequivocal, unambiguous. The Chief Scientist in my department, Professor David McKay, is of a similar view. So I have to say, the science is on the side that we need to take action. And let’s just - hang on for a second, let’s just imagine that the huge majority of scientists are wrong. Let’s just say that climate change deniers are right. Do you think it’s sensible that we gamble, that we say “Well, actually, even if most of the scientists say it’s happening, we should ignore them”? I say that we take a cautious approach and just as you, and many others - I hope, all your viewers - insure their houses against the very unlikely chance of fire burning heir house down, I think, given the risks of climate change are much greater, with more more devastating effects, we should - to humankind - we should invest in a little insurance policy to tackle climate change.
Andrew Neil: Right, well, let’s just look at this [shows graph of global temperatures between 1980 and 2012, rising and then levelling off] graph going up here - shows temperatures rising since 1980, it’s a trend. We’ve flattened it out a little bit, just to get rid of the ups and downs - that’s the trend. Then it sudden - it rises and then it suddenly, around 1997, it plateaus and it’s still plateauing. Isn’t that a bit of a puzzle?
Ed Davey: Well, actually no. When you talk to people at the Met Office, at the Hadley Centre, they expect, in their models, that there will be short-term variation in this century, a rather longer-term time series than you’ve shown there. If you took that much longer, you’d find that the beginning of the 20th century there was a plateau, in the 1950s there was a plateau -
Andrew Neil: That’s nothing to do with global warming.
Ed Davey: - so the short - of course, we were emitting -
Andrew Neil: No, the IPCC reports says that the real CO2 emission, rising temperatures, really kicked in after 1980. Now there is no -
Ed Davey: No, I’m afraid you’re wrong -
Andrew Neil: - there is no Met model, there is no Met model that predicted this plateau.
Ed Davey: First of all, you’re completely wrong to suggest that people in the climate change science community think it only started in 1980. That is simply not true. And in terms of the most recent decade, let’s remember - it was the warmest on record. And even if you look at the temperature analysis, that is pretty striking. But I think that’s a very narrow way of looking at climate change science. If you talk to the climate change scientist community, you’ve got to look at things like the temperature of the seas, because that’s surface - land surface temperature. The oceans have continued to warm. And you’ve got to look at sea levels - sea levels have continued to rise.
Andrew Neil: Let me show you this -
Ed Davey: No, no, no, it’s very important we hear the actual science, because you’re not showing the full picture there.
Andrew Neil: Let me show you this -
Ed Davey: If you look at the ice caps - the ice caps are continuing to melt. All that is part of the -
Andrew Neil: We still have a puzzle. [Shows graph comparing temperature rise and CO2 levels between 1980 and 2012, with a widening gap towards the end.] We still have a puzzle, because this is the temperature and here we have superimposed the carbon dioxide, the CO2 going up in quantity. Now, is there not, at least when you look at that, clear at least that there is a possibility - I put it not higher than that - that there is something of a disconnect, now, between CO2 emissions and temperatures.
Ed Davey: If you had a longer time series, most climate change scientists would say that is completely consistent with data we’ve seen previously. And I go back -
Andrew Neil: Climate scientists can’t explain this disconnect, at the moment.
Ed Davey: No, they can, actually. What they are saying -
Andrew Neil: Well, let me put you to - you may react to this, but this is just to amplify the question. [Screen shows a quote from Dr. Doug Smith, Met Office: “It’s fair to say that the world warmed even less than our forecast suggested… We don’t really understand at the moment why that is."] Dr. Doug Smith, climate scientist at the Met Office: “It’s fair to say that the world warmed even less than our forecast suggested… We don’t really understand at the moment why that is.” So we don’t know why there is a disconnect.
Ed Davey: And I went to the Met Office recently and did a speech at the Met Office, talked to the leading scientists - Doug Smith was there - and what they are saying is: you shouldn’t just look at surface temperature. You should look at the temperature of the oceans. You should look at the level of the sea, which are still rising. You should look at the ice caps, which are still melting. You should look at the increasing frequency of severe weather events. So if you just look at one bit of it, information, which is what you’re doing today, I’m afraid you’re not seeing the full picture.
Andrew Neil: Just sticking with that one bit of information - when this plateau started to develop, and some academics started to write about it in 2006, the people who advise you - so, Phil Jones at the Climate Research Unit, University of East Anglia, in a world centre of climate science - he described the idea of a plateau as nonsense and stupid. The Met Office denied that a plateau was even happening.
===
Rudd makes a carbon tax promise he cannot keep
Andrew Bolt July 17 2013 (7:31am)
Kevin Rudd’s promise to
terminate the carbon tax (in fact, switch to an emissions trading
scheme in July 2014) cannot be delivered.
He would need to get any such plan through the Senate. But the current Senate will sit until June 30, 2014, and a Greens and Coalition majority is almost certain to block Rudd’s plan:
So how will Rudd deliver his promise? With a double dissolution election if he’s blocked?
Or will we just see a rerun of 2010 when another Labor Prime Minister also promised: “There will be no carbon tax under a government I lead?”
UPDATE
Paul Kelly:
He would need to get any such plan through the Senate. But the current Senate will sit until June 30, 2014, and a Greens and Coalition majority is almost certain to block Rudd’s plan:
Greens leader Christine Milne made it clear the government would not win her support to get the changes through the Senate, dismissing the new plans as a “hypothetical” election promise.The Liberals would also oppose the switch, on current indications, if it means simply moving to an emissions trading scheme which could see the carbon price soar.
“I do not expect that parliament will be recalled before the election, but suffice to say these changes cannot be introduced or legislated without the Greens,” Senator Milne said.
“The Greens do not support making it cheaper for the big polluters to pollute. And we certainly do not support slashing climate programs that are playing a vital role in helping Australia reduce emissions, address global warming and protect the environment.”
So how will Rudd deliver his promise? With a double dissolution election if he’s blocked?
Or will we just see a rerun of 2010 when another Labor Prime Minister also promised: “There will be no carbon tax under a government I lead?”
UPDATE
Paul Kelly:
Rudd did not terminate the carbon tax yesterday. Indeed, he does not have that power. The tax still exists. It is the law of the land. There is not the slightest suggestion from Rudd PM that he will recall the parliament to legislate his changes. That is because his model is rejected by both the Coalition and the Greens.
It cannot pass the Senate before the election and it cannot pass the Senate after the election. That is its beauty and its flaw. Rudd is campaigning, not governing. He is promising, not legislating…
Rudd is perfectly correct to invoke his emissions trading scheme mandate from the 2007 election and his first period as PM. The point, of course, is that Rudd’s carbon pollution reduction scheme failed to pass the parliament because it was unacceptable to both the Coalition and the Greens.
He has now devised a new policy that is, once again, unacceptable to the Coalition and the Greens. This freedom makes his policy more popular yet also makes it unrealisable.
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NSW Labor under Rudd looks just like NSW Labor before
Andrew Bolt July 17 2013 (7:00am)
I repeat: Kevin Rudd is expert at seeming. He is even more expert in seeming what he is not.
Rudd last week:
New Labor indeed:
Rudd last week:
The reforms I announce today will give more power to everyday members of the Labor Party. They will ensure that power will never again rest in the hands of a factional few.In fact:
The troubled NSW Labor head office will be asked this morning to investigate branch-stacking claims ahead of this Saturday’s preselection vote in retiring minister Peter Garrett’s seat of Kingsford Smith.To underline the point:
It emerged yesterday that dozens of names registered with the Malabar Labor branch - 58 of which The Daily Telegraph yesterday revealed had been signed up as financial members of the party on the same day - did not exist on the electoral role.
Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, who has promised to clean up the scandal-ridden NSW Labor Party, yesterday refused to intervene to resolve the bitter rank-and-file preselection battle between former party boss Matt Thistlethwaite and local Labor mayor Tony Bowen, the son of former deputy prime minister Lionel Bowen.
But it was revealed that Mr Rudd tried last week to install his former staffer Andrew Charlton into the seat, in a warning to the party head office that if it couldn’t resolve the controversy he would.
Mr Rudd decided against the move after making his public declaration that all outstanding pre-selections caused by the retirement of seven ministers should be decided by local rank and file, and to impose his will would be hypocritical in light of his plans to reform the party to make it more democratic.
Labor exile Eddie Obeid has thrown his support behind Matt Thistlethwaite in the battle to replace outgoing minister Peter Garrett in the seat of Kingsford Smith.UPDATE
Mr Obeid, who is waiting on a decision in his hearing at the Independent Commission Against Corruption, said Senator Thistlethwaite had a stronger claim to the eastern beaches seat than his opponent, Tony Bowen.
But Senator Thistlethwaite immediately rejected Mr Obeid’s blessing, saying it was unwanted mischief-making and the ALP branches in Kingsford Smith would decide his fate, not a disgraced powerbroker…
Mr Obeid said: ‘’Matt Thistlethwaite has the credentials. He is a genuine local, he has worked the branches. He got knocked off in favour of Peter Garrett [who was parachuted into Kingsford Smith in 2004] and he deserves his shot.’’
New Labor indeed:
The Labor Party’s advertising agency has been offering “exclusive” interviews with Prime Minister Kevin Rudd in exchange for free pro-Labor advertising and editorial on youth websites.(Thanks to readers miney and Peter.)
The deal, which also encouraged journalists to produce “entertaining content on the theme of the inadequacy of the Liberal NBN plan”, had been rejected on ethical grounds by Fairfax Media’s popular culture website, TheVine…
The deal was being spruiked by Naked Communications, the online and youth-focused advertising agency for Labor’s campaign.
Labor’s national secretary, George Wright, who is in charge of the election campaign, said he had never seen the advertising-for-access deal, despite the document carrying Labor Party branding…
Earlier a spokeswoman for Mr Rudd had said: “The actions of Naked Communications were conducted without the authority or knowledge of the Prime Minister, or his office.”
However, emails obtained by Fairfax Media suggest the Prime Minister’s office was informed of the negotiations.
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Making Indonesia spin Labor’s lines
Andrew Bolt July 17 2013 (6:49am)
Chris
Kenny on Foreign Minister Bob Carr’s astonishing manhandling of
Indonesia’s Foreign Minister, Marty Natalegawa, to make him criticise
the Opposition’s boat policy:
[In] an interview with SkyNews, Mr Natalegawa made clear that Australia had every right to adopt its own “national” initiatives and said he was willing to discuss its turn back policy. He resisted many invitations to criticise that policy…
Seeing the political implications of this – the sudden removal of Labor’s excuse not to turn back boats – Mr Carr organised the late night interview [with Channel 10]. According to reports, Mr Carr’s office rang Channel 10 to offer the joint interview. What a sad, reactive and cheap way to deal with a party political issue. What disregard it showed for one of our most important relationships.
But it won’t work. Reality can’t be spun away. The dishonest echoing of Labor spin by the love media doesn’t even fool the electorate – never does – and won’t fool the Indonesians. The proof is there for all to see; we know boats were turned back before and the Indonesians did not publicly object; while the bilateral relationship deepened to an unprecedented level.
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America’s real race-crime problem is not violent whites but blacks
Andrew Bolt July 17 2013 (6:44am)
Jason Riley on the dishonesty of so much of Left’s response to the George Zimmerman case
- and America’s real “racial” (actually cultural) divide. And, note,
Riley is himself black, so hopefully won’t be accused of racism:
Is this what triggered the attack on Zimmerman, who then shot Trayvon Martin in self-defence?
Any candid debate on race and criminality in the US would have to start with the fact that blacks commit an astoundingly disproportionate number of crimes. African-Americans constitute about 13 per cent of the population, yet between 1976 and 2005 blacks committed more than half of all murders in the US.UPDATE
The black arrest rate for most offences - including robbery, aggravated assault and property crimes - is typically two to three times their representation in the population…
“High rates of black violence in the late 20th century are a matter of historical fact, not bigoted imagination,” wrote the late Harvard Law professor William Stuntz in The Collapse of American Criminal Justice. “The trends reached their peak not in the land of Jim Crow but in the more civilised North, and not in the age of segregation but in the decades that saw the rise of civil rights for African Americans - and of African American control of city governments.”
The Left wants to blame these outcomes on racial animus and “the system,” but blacks have long been part of running that system. Black crime and incarceration rates spiked in the 1970s and 80s in cities such as Cleveland, Detroit, Chicago and Philadelphia, under black mayors and black police chiefs. Some of the most violent cities in the US today are run by blacks…
Did the perception of black criminality play a role in Martin’s death? We may never know for certain, but we do know that those negative perceptions of young black men are rooted in hard data on who commits crimes. We also know that young black men will not change how they are perceived until they change how they behave.
The homicide rate claiming black victims today is seven times that of whites, and the George Zimmermans of the world are not the reason. About 90 per cent of black murder victims are killed by other blacks.
Is this what triggered the attack on Zimmerman, who then shot Trayvon Martin in self-defence?
Last night Trayvon Martin’s friend Rachel Jeantel ... explained to CNN’s Piers Morgan how she warned her childhood friend that Zimmerman—could be a gay rapist…
MORGAN: You felt that there was no doubt in your mind from what Trayvon was telling you on the phone about the creepy ass cracka and so on, that he absolutely believed that George Zimmerman, this man, you didn’t know who he was at the time, but this man, was pursuing him?
JEANTEL: Yes.
MORGAN: And he was freaked out by it?
JEANTEL: Yes. Definitely after I say may be a rapist, for every boy, for every man, every—who’s not that kind of way, seeing a grown man following them, would they be creep out?
She continued:
“And people need to understand, he didn’t want that creepy ass cracker going to his father or girlfriend’s house to go get—mind you, his little brother was there. You know—now, mind you, I told you—I told Trayvon it might have been a rapist.”
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Two Kevins #3
Andrew Bolt July 17 2013 (6:41am)
Kevin Rudd, 26 June:
Kevin Rudd, 26 June:
I’ve never changed my script or my belief. I never want to be Prime Minister of a country that doesn’t make things anymore. There’s a big future for Australian manufacturing under this government.16 July:
TOYOTA has warned the Rudd Government’s changes to company car tax rules could cripple the automotive industry.Or put it this way…
Kevin Rudd, 26 June:
And let me say this to Australian business: I want to work closely with you… And I’m saying it loud and clear to businesses large and small across the country, that in partnership, we can do great things for the country’s future… Business is a group that this government will work with very closely.Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries chief executive Tony Webber, 16 July:
This (fringe benefit tax) change affects all car sales in Australia, both imports and domestically manufactured. And the effects will flow right through the industry, including to dealerships and service centres.(Reader Peter of Bellevue Hill.)
I want to know if the Government truly understands the consequences of this decision and why the industry was not consulted on such a significant change.
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Pastor Rick Warren
Every time you make a bad choice, it becomes harder to make a good one.
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Pastor Rick Warren
The more you fight a feeling, the more it controls you. Don't resist it, replace it.
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Pastor Rick Warren
I trust God completely,
not because he always does what I want
but because he always does what's right.
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Madu Odiokwu Pastorvin
God is able to do exceedingly abundantly above all we could ask or imagine.
God alone is able to overcome the circumstances beyond your control and cause you to be sufficient where clearly you are insufficient.
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How does this explain the NSW Rugby League record vs Queensland?
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4 her
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Are you a teacher? With the release and implementation of the Australian Curriculum, the Memorial is planning a series of educational web activities, teaching tools and stimulus materials that will allow us to help you. Most importantly we want to know what you need from us. Please read and comment on our blog and let us know where you are finding resource gaps and we will do our best to try and fill them.
http://www.awm.gov.au/
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like Hermione .. ed
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Today we announced our $8.5 billion plan to fix the Bruce Hwy- Locally if elected the Coalition will fund:
•Caloundra Road to Sunshine Motorway – Stage 1 part construction ($200 million)
•Caloundra Road to Sunshine Motorway – Stage 2 planning and design ($50 million)
•Caboolture to Caloundra upgrade – ($122 million)
•Pine River to Caloundra interchange upgrade ($8 million)
I am proud that we will fix the Highway and give Queensland the modern highway that our State deserves http://bit.ly/1dDV482
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" The interpretation of dreams is the royal road to a knowledge of the unconscious activities of the mind. " - Sigmund Freud
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Vines. — in Calistoga, CA.
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Sunset over Mount St. Helena. I have been struggling with this image since taking it last night. The trouble that I'm having is that it looks fake, even straight out of the camera, even though the manipulation has been minimal. I blame the clear sky along with the orange glow.
I decided to take the long way home from Santa Rosa last night and was greeted with a wonderful sunset over the Sonoma County vineyards. I spent much of my life in these parts and miss them, being that I don't get out that way as often as I would like. — in Calistoga, CA.
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Warwick Poulsen
"Pain and suffering are always inevitable for a large intelligence and a deep heart. The really great man must, I think, have great sadness on earth..."
- Dostoevsky, "Crime and Punishment"...
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Dear God as I come before you tonight I thank you for another day of life. Thank you for your strength, love, favor and protection all throughout this day. Lord now I lift up every broken vessel, hurting heart, tired body or stressed soul right now. Turn around their day and grant them nothing but sweet peace. Renew, restore, refresh and uplift. Let your glory full their space. I ask these things in your precious name. Amen.
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July 17: Feast day of the Scillitan Martyrs (Roman Catholic Church); Constitution Day in South Korea (1948)
- 1453 – The Battle of Castillon, the last conflict of the Hundred Years' War, ended with the English losing all landholdings in France, except Calais.
- 1771 – Dene men, acting as a guide toSamuel Hearne on his exploration of the Coppermine River in present-day Nunavut, Canada, massacred a group of about 20Copper Inuit.
- 1936 – Nationalist rebels attempted a coup d'état against theSecond Spanish Republic, sparking the Spanish Civil War.
- 1973 – Mohammed Zahir Shah, the last King of Afghanistan, was ousted in a coup by his cousin Mohammed Daoud Khanwhile in Italy undergoing eye surgery.
- 1981 – A structural failure caused a walkway at the Hyatt Regency hotel in Kansas City, Missouri, US, to collapse(damage pictured), killing 114 people and injuring 216 others.
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Events[edit]
- 180 – Twelve inhabitants of Scillium in North Africa are executed for being Christians. This is the earliest record of Christianity in that part of the world.
- 1203 – The Fourth Crusade captures Constantinople by assault. The Byzantine emperor Alexios III Angelos flees from his capital into exile.
- 1402 – Zhu Di, better known by his era name as the Yongle Emperor, assumes the throne over the Ming Dynasty of China.
- 1429 – Hundred Years' war – Charles VII of France is crowned the King of France in the Reims Cathedral after a successful campaign by Joan of Arc
- 1453 – Battle of Castillon: The last battle of Hundred Years' War, the The French under Jean Bureau defeat the English under theEarl of Shrewsbury, who is killed in the battle in Gascony.
- 1717 – King George I of Great Britain sails down the River Thames with a barge of 50 musicians, where George Frideric Handel'sWater Music is premiered.
- 1762 – Catherine II becomes tsar of Russia upon the murder of Peter III of Russia.
- 1771 – Bloody Falls Massacre: Chipewyan chief Matonabbee, traveling as the guide to Samuel Hearne on his Arctic overland journey, massacres a group of unsuspecting Inuit.
- 1791 – Members of the French National Guard under the command of General Lafayette open fire on a crowd of radical Jacobinsat the Champ de Mars, Paris, during the French Revolution, killing as many as 50 people.
- 1794 – The sixteen Carmelite Martyrs of Compiègne are executed 10 days prior to the end of the French Revolution's Reign of Terror.
- 1856 – The Great Train Wreck of 1856 in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania, kills over 60 people.
- 1867 – Harvard School of Dental Medicine was established in Boston, Massachusetts. It was the first dental school in the U.S. that was affiliated with a university.
- 1899 – NEC Corporation is organized as the first Japanese joint venture with foreign capital.
- 1917 – King George V issues a Proclamation stating that the male line descendants of the British Royal Family will bear the surname Windsor.
- 1918 – Emperor Nicholas II of Russia and his immediate family and retainers are murdered by Bolshevik Chekists at the Ipatiev House in Yekaterinburg,Russia.
- 1918 – The RMS Carpathia, the ship that rescued the 705 survivors from the RMS Titanic, is sunk off Ireland by the German SM U-55; 5 lives are lost.
- 1932 – Altona Bloody Sunday.
- 1933 – After successfully crossing the Atlantic Ocean, the Lithuanian research aircraft Lituanica crashes in Europe under mysterious circumstances.
- 1936 – Spanish Civil War: An Armed Forces rebellion against the recently-elected leftist Popular Front government of Spain starts the civil war.
- 1938 – Douglas Corrigan takes off from Brooklyn to fly the "wrong way" to Ireland and becomes known as "Wrong Way" Corrigan.
- 1944 – Port Chicago disaster: Near the San Francisco Bay, two ships laden with ammunition for the war explode in Port Chicago, California, killing 320.
- 1944 – World War II: Napalm incendiary bombs are dropped for the first time by American P-38 pilots on a fuel depot at Coutances, near Saint-Lô, France.
- 1945 – World War II: the leaders of the three Allied nations, Winston Churchill, Harry S. Truman and Joseph Stalin, meet in the German city of Potsdam to decide the future of a defeated Germany.
- 1948 – The South Korean constitution is proclaimed.
- 1953 – The largest number of United States midshipman casualties in a single event results from an aircraft crash in Florida killing 44.
- 1955 – Disneyland is dedicated and opened by Walt Disney in Anaheim, California.
- 1962 – Nuclear weapons testing: The "Small Boy" test shot Little Feller I becomes the last atmospheric test detonation at the Nevada National Security Site.
- 1968 – A revolution occurs in Iraq when Abdul Rahman Arif is overthrown and the Ba'ath Party is installed as the governing power in Iraq with Ahmed Hassan al-Bakr as the new Iraqi President.
- 1973 – King Mohammed Zahir Shah of Afghanistan is deposed by his cousin Mohammed Daoud Khan while in Italy undergoing eye surgery.
- 1975 – Apollo–Soyuz Test Project: An American Apollo and a Soviet Soyuz spacecraft dock with each other in orbit marking the first such link-up between spacecraft from the two nations.
- 1976 – History of East Timor: East Timor is annexed, and becomes the 27th province of Indonesia.
- 1976 – The opening of the Summer Olympics in Montreal is marred by 25 African teams boycotting the New Zealand team.
- 1979 – Nicaraguan president General Anastasio Somoza Debayle resigns and flees to Miami, Florida.
- 1981 – The opening of the Humber Bridge by Queen Elizabeth II in England, United Kingdom.
- 1981 – A structural failure leads to the collapse of a walkway at the Hyatt Regency in Kansas City, Missouri killing 114 people and injuring more than 200.
- 1985 – Founding of the EUREKA Network by former head of states François Mitterrand (France) and Helmut Kohl (Germany).
- 1989 – First flight of the B-2 Spirit Stealth Bomber.
- 1989 – Holy See-Poland relations are restored.
- 1996 – TWA Flight 800: Off the coast of Long Island, New York, a Paris-bound TWA Boeing 747 explodes, killing all 230 on board.
- 1996 – The Community of Portuguese Language Countries is founded.
- 1998 – Papua New Guinea earthquake: A tsunami triggered by an undersea earthquake destroys 10 villages in Papua New Guinea killing an estimated 3,183, leaving 2,000 more unaccounted for and thousands more homeless.
- 1998 – A diplomatic conference adopts the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, establishing a permanent international court to prosecute individuals for genocide, Crimes against humanity, war crimes, and the crime of aggression.
- 2007 – TAM Airlines (TAM Linhas Aéreas) Flight 3054 crashes upon landing during rain in São Paulo. This is Brazil's deadliest aviation accident to date with an estimated 199 deaths.
- 2009 – Jakarta double bombings at the JW Marriott and Ritz-Carlton Hotels killed 9 people including 4 foreigners.
Births[edit]
- 607 – Ali ibn Abi Talib, 4th Caliph of Islam and 1st Shi'ite Imam (d. 661)
- 1487 – Ismail I, Iranian ruler, founder of the Safavid dynasty (d. 1524)
- 1674 – Isaac Watts, English hymnwriter and theologian (d. 1748)
- 1698 – Pierre Louis Maupertuis, French mathematician (d. 1759)
- 1744 – Elbridge Gerry, American politician, 5th Vice President of the United States (d. 1814)
- 1745 – Peter Ludwig von der Pahlen, Russian general (d. 1826)
- 1763 – John Jacob Astor, German-American businessman (d. 1848)
- 1774 – John Wilbur, American minister (d. 1856)
- 1797 – Hippolyte Delaroche, French painter (d. 1856)
- 1823 – Leander Clark, American businessman and politician (d. 1910)
- 1831 – Xianfeng Emperor of China (d. 1861)
- 1837 – Joseph-Alfred Mousseau, French-Canadian politician (d. 1886)
- 1839 – Ephraim Shay, American inventor and engineer, invented the Shay locomotive (d. 1916)
- 1845 – Hugo Treffner, Baltic German pedagogue (d. 1912)
- 1853 – Alexius Meinong, Austrian philosopher (d. 1920)
- 1868 – Henri Nathansen, Danish writer and director (d. 1944)
- 1870 – Charles Davidson Dunbar, Scottish bagpipe player (d. 1939)
- 1871 – Lyonel Feininger, German-American painter and caricaturist (d. 1956)
- 1882 – James Somerville, British admiral (d. 1949)
- 1888 – Shmuel Yosef Agnon, Israeli writer, Nobel Prize laureate (d. 1970)
- 1888 – Milán Füst, Hungarian writer, (d. 1967)
- 1889 – Erle Stanley Gardner, American lawyer and author (d. 1970)
- 1894 – Georges Lemaître, Belgian priest, astronomer, and cosmologist (d. 1966)
- 1898 – Berenice Abbott, American photographer (d. 1991)
- 1898 – Osmond Borradaile, Canadian cinematographer (d. 1999)
- 1898 – George Robert Vincent, American historian (d. 1985)
- 1899 – James Cagney, American actor (d. 1986)
- 1900 – Marcel Dalio, French actor (d. 1983)
- 1901 – Luigi Chinetti, Italian-American race car driver (d. 1994)
- 1901 – Bruno Jasieński, Polish poet (d. 1938)
- 1902 – Christina Stead, Australian author (d. 1983)
- 1910 – James Coyne, Canadian banker, 2nd Governor of the Bank of Canada (d. 2012)
- 1910 – Barbara O'Neil, American actress (d. 1980)
- 1910 – Frank Olson, American biologist (d. 1953)
- 1911 – Ted Anderson, English footballer (d. 1979)
- 1911 – Heinz Lehmann, German born Canadian psychiatrist (d. 1999)
- 1912 – Erwin Bauer, German race car driver (d. 1958)
- 1912 – Art Linkletter, Canadian-American radio and television host (d. 2010)
- 1913 – Bertrand Goldberg, American architect, designed the Marina City building (d. 1997)
- 1913 – Marc Swayze, American writer and illustrator (d. 2012)
- 1915 – Fred Ball, American actor (d. 2007)
- 1917 – Lou Boudreau, American baseball player and manager (d. 2001)
- 1917 – Phyllis Diller, American actress and comedian (d. 2012)
- 1917 – Christiane Rochefort, French writer (d. 1998)
- 1918 – Carlos Manuel Arana Osorio, Guatemalan politician, President of Guatemala (d. 2003)
- 1918 – Red Sovine, American singer-songwriter and guitarist (d. 1980)
- 1920 – Gordon Gould, American physicist, inventor of the laser (d. 2005)
- 1920 – Juan Antonio Samaranch, Spanish sports administrator, 7th President of the International Olympic Committee (d. 2010)
- 1920 – Kenneth Wolstenholme, English sportscaster (d. 2002)
- 1921 – Louis Lachenal, French mountaineer (d. 1955)
- 1921 – Mary Osborne, American jazz guitarist (d. 1992)
- 1921 – Robert V. Remini, American historian (d. 2013)
- 1921 – František Zvarík, Slovakian actor (d. 2008)
- 1923 – John Cooper, English car designer, co-founded the Cooper Car Company (d. 2000)
- 1924 – Olive Ann Burns, American author (d. 1990)
- 1925 – Jimmy Scott, American singer
- 1926 – Édouard Carpentier, Canadian wrestler (d. 2010)
- 1926 – Charles Champlin, American critic and writer
- 1928 – Vince Guaraldi, American singer-songwriter, musician, and composer (d. 1976)
- 1929 – Sergei K. Godunov, Russian mathematician
- 1932 – Quino, Argentine cartoonist
- 1932 – Johnny Kerr, American basketball player and coach (d. 2009)
- 1932 – Karla Kuskin, American children's author (d. 2009)
- 1932 – Hal Riney, American advertising executive, founded Publicis & Hal Riney (d. 2008)
- 1933 – Karmenu Mifsud Bonnici, 9th Prime Minister of Malta
- 1933 – Tony Pithey, South African cricketer (d. 2006)
- 1935 – Diahann Carroll, American actress
- 1935 – Peter Schickele, American composer
- 1935 – Donald Sutherland, Canadian actor
- 1938 – Hermann Huppen, Belgian writer and illustrator
- 1939 – Andrée Champagne, Canadian actress and politician
- 1939 – Spencer Davis, English singer-songwriter and guitarist (The Spencer Davis Group)
- 1939 – Ali Khamenei, Iranian politician, 2nd Supreme Leader of Iran
- 1940 – Tim Brooke-Taylor, English actor
- 1941 – Daryle Lamonica, American football player
- 1941 – Bob Taylor, English cricketer
- 1941 – Achim Warmbold, German race car driver
- 1942 – Gale Garnett, New Zealand-Canadian singer, actress, and writer
- 1942 – Connie Hawkins, American basketball player
- 1942 – Don Kessinger, American baseball player
- 1942 – Peter Sissons, English journalist
- 1943 – LaVyrle Spencer, American author
- 1944 – Mark Burgess, New Zealand cricketer
- 1944 – Catherine Schell, Hungarian-English actress
- 1944 – Carlos Alberto Torres, Brazilian footballer
- 1945 – Alexander, Crown Prince of Yugoslavia
- 1946 – Alun Armstrong, English actor
- 1947 – Robert Begerau, German footballer
- 1947 – Camilla, Duchess of Cornwall
- 1947 – Wolfgang Flür, German musician (Kraftwerk)
- 1948 – Ron Asheton, American musician, songwriter, and actor (The Stooges, Destroy All Monsters, The New Order, and New Race) (d. 2009)
- 1948 – Luc Bondy, Swiss director
- 1949 – Geezer Butler, English musician and songwriter (Black Sabbath, GZR, and Heaven & Hell)
- 1949 – Charley Steiner, American sportscaster
- 1950 – Derek de Lint, Dutch actor
- 1950 – Damon Harris, American singer (The Temptations) (d. 2013)
- 1950 – Phoebe Snow, American singer-songwriter and guitarist (Sisters of Glory) (d. 2011)
- 1950 – P. J. Soles, German-American actress
- 1951 – Lucie Arnaz, American actress
- 1951 – Mark Bowden, American writer
- 1952 – David Hasselhoff, American actor and singer
- 1952 – Nicolette Larson, American singer (d. 1997)
- 1954 – Angela Merkel, German politician, Chancellor of Germany
- 1954 – J. Michael Straczynski, American author
- 1955 – Christopher Chappell, Canadian cricketer
- 1955 – Sylvie Léonard, French-Canadian actress
- 1955 – Paul Stamets, American mycologist and author
- 1956 – Robert Romanus, American actor
- 1956 – Bryan Trottier, Canadian ice hockey player
- 1956 – Julie Bishop, Australian politician
- 1957 – Fern Britton, English television host
- 1958 – Wong Kar-wai, Chinese director
- 1958 – Thérèse Rein, Australian wife of Kevin Rudd
- 1960 – Kim Barnett, English cricketer
- 1960 – Mark Burnett, English-American television producer
- 1960 – Nancy Giles, American actress
- 1960 – Robin Shou, Hong Kong actor
- 1960 – Dawn Upshaw, American soprano
- 1960 – Jan Wouters, Dutch footballer and manager
- 1961 – Guru, American rapper, producer, and actor (Gang Starr) (d. 2010)
- 1961 – Jeremy Hardy, English comedian
- 1961 – Roy Pienaar, South African cricketer
- 1961 – Jonathan Potts, Canadian actor
- 1962 – Bill Sage, American actor
- 1963 – Letsie III of Lesotho
- 1963 – Regina Belle, American singer-songwriter and producer
- 1963 – Matti Nykänen, Finnish ski jumper
- 1963 – John Ventimiglia, American actor
- 1965 – Craig Morgan, American singer-songwriter and guitarist
- 1965 – Santiago Segura, Spanish actor and director
- 1965 – Alex Winter, English director
- 1966 – Lou Barlow, American singer-songwriter and musician (Deep Wound, Dinosaur Jr., Sebadoh, and The Folk Implosion)
- 1966 – Sten Tolgfors, Swedish politician
- 1967 – Susan Ashton, American singer
- 1968 – Beth Littleford, American comedian and actress
- 1968 – Andre Royo, American actor
- 1968 – Bitty Schram, American actress
- 1969 – F. Gary Gray, American director
- 1969 – Scott Johnson, American cartoonist
- 1970 – Mandy Smith, English model and singer
- 1971 – Calbert Cheaney, American basketball player
- 1971 – Cory Doctorow, Canadian author and activist
- 1971 – Nico Mattan, Belgian cyclist
- 1971 – Wilma van Hofwegen, Dutch swimmer
- 1972 – Elizabeth Cook, American singer and guitarist
- 1972 – Donny Marshall, American basketball player
- 1972 – Jason Rullo, American drummer (Symphony X and Redemption)
- 1972 – Jaap Stam, Dutch footballer
- 1972 – Eric Williams, American basketball player
- 1973 – Tony Dovolani, Albanian-American dancer
- 1973 – Eric Moulds, American football player
- 1973 – Liam Kyle Sullivan, American comedian and actor
- 1974 – Laura Macdonald, Scottish saxophonist and composer
- 1975 – Darude, Finnish DJ and producer
- 1975 – Carey Hart, American freestyle motocross, motorcycle racer, and off-road truck racer
- 1975 – Harlette, Australian-English fashion designer
- 1975 – Andre Adams, New Zealand cricketer
- 1975 – Elena Anaya, Spanish actress
- 1975 – Cécile de France, Belgian actress
- 1975 – Paul Hinojos, American musician and composer (At the Drive-In, The Mars Volta, and Sparta)
- 1975 – Konnie Huq, English television host
- 1975 – Terence Tao, Australian-Chinese mathematician
- 1975 – M.I.A., British artist of Tamil descent.
- 1976 – Luke Bryan, American singer-songwriter and guitarist
- 1976 – Gino D'Acampo, Italian chef
- 1976 – Dagmara Dominczyk, Polish actress
- 1976 – Matt Holmes, Australian actor
- 1976 – Eric Winter, American actor
- 1977 – Leif Hoste, Belgian cyclist
- 1977 – Lehmber Hussainpuri, Indian singer
- 1977 – Marc Savard, Canadian ice hockey player
- 1978 – Ricardo Arona, Brazilian mixed martial artist
- 1978 – Panda Bear, American singer-songwriter and musician (Animal Collective and Jane)
- 1978 – Jason Jennings, American baseball player
- 1978 – Mike Knox, American wrestler
- 1978 – Émilie Simon, French singer-songwriter and composer
- 1978 – Katharine Towne, American actress
- 1979 – Mike Vogel, American actor
- 1980 – Javier Camuñas, Spanish footballer
- 1980 – Ryan Miller, American ice hockey player
- 1981 – Hely Ollarves, Venezuelan runner
- 1981 – Elpida Romantzi, Greek archer
- 1982 – Omari Banks, Indian cricketer
- 1982 – Natasha Hamilton, English singer-songwriter, dancer, and actress (Atomic Kitten)
- 1982 – René Herms, German runner (d. 2009)
- 1983 – Jessi Cruickshank, Canadian television host
- 1983 – Ryan Guettler, Australian bicycle motocross rider
- 1983 – Sarah Jones, American actress
- 1983 – Adam Lind, American baseball player
- 1984 – David Katoatau, I-Kiribati weightlifter
- 1984 – Asami Kimura, Japanese singer (Country Musume)
- 1984 – Samyr Laine, Haitian triple jumper
- 1984 – Sotiris Leontiou, Greek footballer
- 1985 – Tom Fletcher, English singer-songwriter and musician (McFly)
- 1985 – Loui Eriksson, Swedish professional ice hockey player
- 1985 – Neil McGregor, Scottish footballer
- 1986 – Dana, South Korean singer, dancer, and actress (The Grace)
- 1986 – Brando Eaton, American actor
- 1986 – DeAngelo Smith, American football player
- 1986 – Lacey Von Erich, American wrestler
- 1987 – Jeremih, American singer-songwriter and producer
- 1987 – Darius Boyd, Australian rugby player
- 1987 – Jan Charouz, Czech race car driver
- 1988 – Summer Bishil, American actress
- 1988 – Guo Yue, Chinese table tennis player
- 1991 – Mann, American rapper
- 1998 – Felipe Juan Froilán de Marichalar y Borbón, Spanish son of Infanta Elena, Duchess of Lugo
- 2000 – Maria Aragon, Canadian singer
Deaths[edit]
- 521 – Magnus Felix Ennodius, Latin bishop and poet (b. 474)
- 656 – Uthman ibn Affan, Islamic 3rd caliph (b. 579)
- 924 – Edward the Elder, English king (b. 877)
- 1070 – Baldwin VI, Count of Flanders (b. 1030)
- 1453 – Dmitry Shemyaka, Russian prince
- 1453 – John Talbot, 1st Earl of Shrewsbury, English military leader (b. 1387)
- 1531 – Hosokawa Takakuni, Japanese military commander (b. 1484)
- 1566 – Bartolomé de las Casas, Spanish priest (b. 1484)
- 1571 – Georg Fabricius, German poet and historian (b. 1516)
- 1588 – Mimar Sinan, Ottoman architect and engineer (b. 1489)
- 1645 – Robert Carr, 1st Earl of Somerset, Scottish politician (b. 1587)
- 1704 – Pierre-Charles Le Sueur, French fur trader and explorer (b. 1657)
- 1709 – Robert Bolling, English-American planter and merchant (b. 1646)
- 1790 – Adam Smith, Scottish economist and philosopher (b. 1723)
- 1791 – Martin Dobrizhoffer, Austrian missionary (b. 1717)
- 1793 – Charlotte Corday, French murderer (b. 1768)
- 1794 – John Roebuck, English chemist (b. 1718)
- 1845 – Charles Grey, 2nd Earl Grey, English politician, Prime Minister of the United Kingdom (b. 1764)
- 1878 – Aleardo Aleardi, Italian poet (b. 1812)
- 1879 – Maurycy Gottlieb, Ukrainian painter (b. 1856)
- 1881 – Jim Bridger, American mountain man and explorer (b. 1804)
- 1883 – Tu Duc, Vietnamese emperor (b. 1892)
- 1885 – Jean-Charles Chapais, Canadian politician (b. 1811)
- 1887 – Dorothea Dix, American activist (b. 1802)
- 1893 – Frederick A. Johnson, American politician (b. 1833)
- 1894 – Josef Hyrtl, Austrian anatomist (b. 1810)
- 1894 – Leconte de Lisle, French poet (b. 1818)
- 1907 – Hector Malot, French writer (b. 1830)
- 1912 – Henri Poincaré, French mathematician (b. 1854)
- 1918 – Family of Nicholas II of Russia (b. 1868)
- Empress Alexandra Fyodorovna (b. 1872)
- Grand Duchess Olga Nikolaevna (b. 1895)
- Grand Duchess Tatiana Nikolaevna (b. 1897)
- Grand Duchess Maria Nikolaevna (b. 1899)
- Grand Duchess Anastasia Nikolaevna (b. 1901)
- Tsarevich Alexei Nikolaevich (b. 1904)
- 1928 – Giovanni Giolitti, Italian statesman (b. 1842)
- 1928 – Álvaro Obregón, Mexican politician, 39th President of Mexico (b. 1880)
- 1935 – Nie Er, Chinese musician (b. 1912)
- 1935 – George William Russell, Irish poet and artist (b. 1867)
- 1944 – William James Sidis, American mathematician (b. 1898)
- 1945 – Ernst Busch, German field marshal (b. 1885)
- 1946 – Draža Mihailović, Yugoslav General (b. 1893)
- 1950 – Evangeline Booth, English 4th General of The Salvation Army (b. 1865)
- 1950 – Antonie Nedošinská, Czech actress (b. 1885)
- 1959 – Billie Holiday, American singer-songwriter and actress (b. 1915)
- 1959 – Eugene Meyer, American businessman and publisher (b. 1875)
- 1961 – Ty Cobb, American baseball player (b. 1886)
- 1967 – John Coltrane, American saxophonist and composer (Miles Davis Quintet) (b. 1926)
- 1974 – Dizzy Dean, American baseball player (b. 1910)
- 1975 – Konstantine Gamsakhurdia, Georgian writer (b. 1893)
- 1980 – Don "Red" Barry, American actor (b. 1912)
- 1980 – Boris Delaunay, Russian mathematician (b. 1890)
- 1987 – Yujiro Ishihara, Japanese actor (b. 1934)
- 1988 – Bruiser Brody, professional wrestler (b. 1946)
- 1989 – Itubwa Amram, Nauruan pastor and politician (b. 1922)
- 1994 – Jean Borotra, French tennis player (b. 1898)
- 1995 – Juan Manuel Fangio, Argentinian race car driver (b. 1911)
- 1996 – Victims of TWA Flight 800
- Michel Breistroff, French ice hockey player (b. 1971)
- Marcel Dadi, Tunisian-French guitarist (b. 1951)
- David Hogan, American composer (b. 1949)
- Jed Johnson, American interior designer and director (b. 1948)
- Pam Lychner, American real estate agent and activist (b. 1959)
- 1996 – Chas Chandler, American bass player and producer (The Animals) (b. 1938)
- 1998 – Lillian Hoban, American children's author and illustrator (b. 1925)
- 2000 – Zhao Lirong, Chinese film actress (b. 1928)
- 2001 – Katharine Graham, American publisher (b. 1917)
- 2003 – David Kelly, Welsh scientist (b. 1944)
- 2003 – Rosalyn Tureck, American pianist and harpsichordist (b. 1914)
- 2003 – Walter Zapp, Baltic German inventor (b. 1905)
- 2004 – Pat Roach, English wrestler and actor (b. 1937)
- 2005 – Laurel Aitken, Jamaican singer (b. 1927)
- 2005 – Geraldine Fitzgerald, Irish-American actress (b. 1913)
- 2005 – Edward Heath, English politician, Prime Minister of the United Kingdom (b. 1916)
- 2005 – Gavin Lambert, English screenwriter and author (b. 1924)
- 2005 – Joe Vialls, Australian writer (b. 1944)
- 2006 – Sam Myers, American singer-songwriter and musician (b. 1936)
- 2006 – Mickey Spillane, American author (b. 1918)
- 2007 – Júlio Redecker, Brazilian politician (b. 1956)
- 2008 – Larry Haines, American actor (b. 1918)
- 2009 – Walter Cronkite, American journalist (b. 1916)
- 2009 – Leszek Kołakowski, Polish philosopher (b. 1927)
- 2011 – David Ngoombujarra, Australian actor (b. 1967)
- 2012 – Ottorino Pietro Alberti, Italian archbishop (b. 1927)
- 2012 – Mrinal Gore, Indian politician and activist (b. 1928)
- 2012 – Forrest S. McCartney, American general (b. 1931)
- 2012 – Ms. Melodie, American rapper (b. 1964)
- 2012 – İlhan Mimaroğlu, Turkish-American composer (b. 1926)
- 2012 – Morgan Paull, American actor (b. 1944)
- 2012 – William Raspberry, American journalist (b. 1935)
- 2012 – Marsha Singh, English politician (b. 1954)
- 2012 – Wahengbam Nipamacha Singh, Indian politician (b. 1930)
- 2012 – William L. Wainwright, American politician (b. 1947)
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